Adapting to survive: Homebuilders Navigate Washington’s Competitive Landscape

  • Dec. 13, 2024
  • 4 min read

Washington State, with its booming tech industry and stunning natural beauty, has become a magnet for new residents. This influx has fueled a voracious demand for housing, attracting numerous public homebuilders to the Evergreen State. But . How homebuilders adapt to this new reality will determine their continued success. Success will depend on securing land by expanding outwards and offering housing options that meet the needs of a diverse population whose demographics are rapidly changing.

The Background: While some national builders had a presence in the Puget Sound region before the 2008 housing crash, many were heavily invested in the Sun Belt states (Arizona, Nevada, Florida) where the boom was most pronounced. The housing crash hit those markets hard, and many national builders faced significant financial difficulties. However, the Puget Sound region, with its strong economic fundamentals (driven by the tech industry), recovered relatively quickly. This created an attractive opportunity for public homebuilders. Many national builders used their remaining resources to acquire struggling local and regional builders in the Puget Sound area at discounted prices. This allowed them to quickly gain market share and a foothold in a recovering market. As the market rebounded, these public builders leveraged their scale, efficiency, and access to capital to expand their operations and capture a larger share of the new home construction market.

The Players:Washington now boasts a significant presence of national public homebuilders. All of the giants call the Puget Sound market home and the competition for lot supply is fierce. Lennar, DR Horton, KB Home, Taylor Morrison, Toll, Richmond American, LGI and Pulte Homes have established operations and need to continue to feed their pipelines. Communities with single family homes are limited in core markets and homebuilders have been forced to focus on in-fill townhome developments due to land prices.

Limited Land Availability:There are a variety of factors affecting the supply of land. Geographic constraints, including mountains, water, and protected areas, restrict developable land, particularly in desirable urban areas; Stringent environmental regulations and growth management act policies have slowed down the approval process for new developments; and Community opposition to new development have also created further obstacles and delays.

The Scramble for Lots: Perhaps the biggest hurdle for homebuilders in Washington is the fierce competition for buildable lots.

Adapting to Survive: To stay competitive, builders must employ various strategies to meet their business plans and add to their land pipelines.

  • Strategic Acquisitions: Many builders already expanded into the market by acquiring existing local or regional companies, gaining immediate access to land, established relationships, and market knowledge. Large regional builders like Polygon, Quadrant and others were swallowed up. Now, there is a limited pool of private builders like MainVue left for the publics to acquire. However, future acquisitions of private builders in core markets may only be an interim solution.
  • Land Banking & Joint Ventures: Securing market-ready entitled land is crucial. Partnering with local developers or investors can provide access to capital and expertise while eliminating entitlement risk.
  • Expanding Outwards: As lot supply in traditional submarkets become more scarce and more expensive, builders must venture further afield. Developing communities in suburban and exurban locations to replace lost community in traditional markets is paramount for succcess. Suburbs and exurban locations offer new homebuyers, families and retirees the affordability and quality of life not found in urban environments.

Future of Building in Washington: The Washington homebuilding market remains dynamic and challenging. While demand for housing is expected to remain strong, builders will need to adapt to evolving market conditions, regulatory changes, and increasing competition for a limited supply of lots in core markets. Success will depend on securing land by expanding outwards and offering housing options that meet the needs of a diverse population whose demographics are rapidly changing.